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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

APA earnings analysis

Filed November 5, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

APA delivered strong Q3 2026 operating results, with $2.812 billion of revenue and $1.94 of adjusted EPS, including a substantial year-over-year improvement and a consensus beat. Cash generation remained robust at $699…

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APA delivered strong Q3 2026 operating results, with $2.812 billion of revenue and $1.94 of adjusted EPS, including a substantial year-over-year improvement and a consensus beat. Cash generation remained robust at $699 million of free cash flow and $1.38 billion of operating cash flow, although both declined sequentially from Q2. Management raised the 2026 free cash flow and U.S. oil production outlooks, supporting a bullish trend despite commodity-price sensitivity and foreign-exchange exposure. The filing reported no material changes to the risk factors disclosed in the prior 10-K and 10-Q.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$1.94

What stood out

  • Revenue accelerated sharply

    Revenue was $2.812 billion, up from $2.37 billion in Q2 2026 and $2.12 billion in Q3 2025, increases of approximately 18.6% sequentially and 32.7% year over year.

  • EPS beat estimates, rose year over year

    Adjusted EPS was $1.94, above the $1.56 consensus estimate and up from $0.57 in Q3 2025, though down from $2.11 in Q2 2026.

  • Strong cash generation

    Free cash flow was $699 million, supported by $1.38 billion of operating cash flow and production above guidance; FCF was below $1.14 billion in Q2 2026 and $741 million in Q3 2025.

  • Higher commodity realizations

    Commodity realizations improved materially year over year: crude oil rose 36% to $92.02 per barrel, natural gas rose 28% to $2.87 per Mcf, and NGLs rose 27% to $26.17 per barrel.

  • Aggressive share repurchases

    The company repurchased 10,520,547 shares during the quarter at an average price of $42.78 and received authorization for an additional 40 million shares in September 2026.

  • Debt structure limits near-term rate risk

    As of September 30, 2026, all $3.3 billion of outstanding notes and debentures were fixed-rate debt, with a weighted-average interest rate of 5.85%; no commercial paper or revolver borrowings were outstanding.

What to watch

  • High commodity-price sensitivity

    The filing states that revenues, earnings, cash flow, capital investments and future growth are highly dependent on volatile commodity prices. At Q3 2026 production levels, a $1.00 per barrel change in realized oil prices would change quarterly revenue by approximately $20 million, while a $0.10 per Mcf gas-price change would change revenue by approximately $8 million.

  • Debt refinancing exposure

    The company had $3.3 billion of outstanding fixed-rate notes and debentures as of September 30, 2026, at a weighted-average interest rate of 5.85%; future debt issuances or borrowings could increase interest costs if rates remain elevated.

  • North Sea FX and decommissioning risk

    North Sea decommissioning obligations create foreign-exchange exposure. Outstanding British-pound hedges had a notional amount of £36 million; a 10% weakening of the pound would produce a $4 million foreign-currency loss, versus a $2 million gain from a 10% strengthening.

Management's outlook

The filing itself does not provide numeric EPS or revenue guidance. The associated quarterly outlook increased full-year 2026 free cash flow to approximately $2.9 billion, up $600 million from the August update; full-year U.S. oil production was raised to 124,000 barrels per day from initial guidance of 120,000-122,000 barrels per day, and the net debt target was lowered to $2 billion.

Earlier filings 1

10-Q · May 7, 2026

APA Corporation reported strong financial performance for Q1 2026, with revenues of $2.215 billion and EPS of $1.38, both surpassing analyst expectations. The company highlighted a commitment to reducing costs and…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.