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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

PEG earnings analysis

Filed November 2, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

PSEG's third-quarter results were mixed: revenue of $3.020 billion and non-GAAP operating EPS of $1.15 missed estimates, while non-GAAP operating earnings rose to $574 million from $565 million year over year.…

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PSEG's third-quarter results were mixed: revenue of $3.020 billion and non-GAAP operating EPS of $1.15 missed estimates, while non-GAAP operating earnings rose to $574 million from $565 million year over year. Management maintained 2026 non-GAAP operating EPS guidance of $4.28-$4.40 per share. The principal forward risks are the 6.8 GW PJM capacity shortfall, uncertainty around the proposed 15-year procurement framework, and unresolved state energy-efficiency proceedings.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

66% Gross margin Operating margin Nov 2025 May 2026

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish Feb 2022 Nov 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$1.15

What stood out

  • Revenue missed estimates and fell year over year

    Third-quarter revenue was $3.020 billion, below the $3.262 billion consensus estimate by approximately 7.4%. Revenue declined from $3.23 billion in 2025 Q3 and increased from $2.55 billion in 2026 Q2.

  • Operating earnings improved despite EPS miss

    Non-GAAP operating EPS was $1.15 versus the $1.20 estimate, while GAAP EPS was $0.76. Non-GAAP operating earnings increased to $574 million from $565 million year over year.

  • Full-year EPS outlook maintained

    Management maintained 2026 non-GAAP operating EPS guidance at $4.28-$4.40 per share, indicating no change to the previously communicated outlook.

  • No material control deficiencies reported

    The filing states that disclosure controls were effective at a reasonable assurance level as of the end of the period, and that there were no changes during the third quarter of 2026 that materially affected internal control over financial reporting.

What to watch

  • PJM capacity shortfall and cost allocation

    PJM identified a 6.8 GW resource shortfall for the 2028/2029 delivery year. The proposed Reliability Backstop Procurement framework would seek 15-year commitments from new generation resources, with costs passed to load-serving entities and end-use customers.

  • Uncertain timing of capacity-market reforms

    PJM's revised Reliability Backstop Procurement filing seeks FERC approval by January 29, 2027, with an auction planned for March 1, 2027, assuming approval. Regulatory timing and final design remain uncertain.

  • Regulatory outcomes remain uncertain

    PJM's proposed rules for curtailment of new large-load customers were rejected by FERC in October 2026, while PSE&G's proposed one-year energy-efficiency program extension and alternatives remain unresolved.

Management's outlook

Management maintained 2026 non-GAAP operating EPS guidance of $4.28-$4.40 per share. No quantitative revenue guidance was provided; the 10-Q extract does not disclose additional numeric outlook ranges.

Earlier filings 4

10-Q · August 4, 2026

PSEG's second-quarter revenue declined 9% year over year to $2.554 billion and GAAP diluted EPS decreased to $0.67 from $1.17, primarily reflecting adverse commodity mark-to-market results at PSEG Power. The regulated…

10-Q · May 5, 2026

Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) reported robust Q1 2026 results, with EPS of $1.55, exceeding estimates of $1.44, and revenue of $3.85 billion, surpassing expectations of $3.34 billion. The company's performance…

10-K · February 26, 2026

PSEG’s 2025 10-K emphasizes a regulated-growth strategy centered on PSE&G’s transmission & distribution investments and PSEG Power’s nuclear generation. Management highlights regulatory support (a $17.8 billion rate…

10-Q · November 3, 2025

PSEG reported a strong quarter with consolidated operating revenues of $3,226 million (Q3 2025) up $584 million versus Q3 2024 ($2,642 million) and diluted EPS of $1.24 (Q3 2025) versus $1.04 a year ago. Operating…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.