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Aeluma ALMU 7.58 0.37 5.13%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 12 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 12, 2026 close · $7.58
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±5.7% ±$0.43 $7.15 – $8.01 $7.06 – $8.10 $6.65 – $8.51
2 sessions ±7.9% ±$0.60 $6.98 – $8.18 $6.85 – $8.31 $6.28 – $8.88
3 sessions ±10.0% ±$0.76 $6.82 – $8.34 $6.68 – $8.48 $5.97 – $9.19
1 week ±12.7% ±$0.96 $6.62 – $8.54 $6.40 – $8.76 $5.53 – $9.63
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ALMU reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±13.03%
Average actual move
14.04%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 17, 2026 ±13.03% -14.04% 1.08× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →