AMKR Moves

Amkor Technology Inc AMKR 32.82 2.33 7.64%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $32.60

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.9% ±$1.28	$31.33 – $33.88	$31.07 – $34.14	$29.86 – $35.35
2 sessions	±5.5% ±$1.79	$30.82 – $34.39	$30.45 – $34.76	$28.77 – $36.44
3 sessions	±6.9% ±$2.24	$30.37 – $34.84	$29.93 – $35.28	$27.83 – $37.38
1 week	±8.7% ±$2.85	$29.76 – $35.45	$29.12 – $36.09	$26.54 – $38.67
2 weeks	±12.0% ±$3.92	$28.69 – $36.52	$27.76 – $37.45	$24.25 – $40.96
3 weeks	±14.4% ±$4.69	$27.92 – $37.29	$26.78 – $38.43	$22.71 – $42.50
1 month	±16.9% ±$5.51	$27.10 – $38.11	$25.74 – $39.47	$20.94 – $44.27

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±11.77%

Average actual move

9.92%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Median IV change

-28.12%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
October 27, 2026	±13.18%	+8.50%	0.65×	106.7% → 70.3%
February 11, 2025	±10.37%	-11.33%	1.09×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →