APPS Moves

Digital Turbine APPS 10.38 0.71 7.34%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $10.58

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.7% ±$0.39	$10.19 – $10.97	$10.11 – $11.05	$9.75 – $11.41
2 sessions Earnings	±22.3% ±$2.36	$8.22 – $12.94	$7.64 – $13.52	$5.46 – $15.70
3 sessions Earnings	±23.5% ±$2.49	$8.09 – $13.07	$7.52 – $13.64	$5.24 – $15.92
1 week Earnings	±24.4% ±$2.58	$8.00 – $13.16	$7.37 – $13.79	$5.15 – $16.01
2 weeks Earnings	±25.9% ±$2.74	$7.84 – $13.32	$7.20 – $13.96	$4.81 – $16.35
3 weeks Earnings	±27.1% ±$2.87	$7.71 – $13.45	$7.03 – $14.13	$4.55 – $16.61
1 month Earnings	±28.5% ±$3.02	$7.56 – $13.60	$6.83 – $14.33	$4.23 – $16.93

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. APPS reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±27.55%

Average actual move

56.76%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
June 17, 2025	±27.55%	+56.76%	2.06×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →