ASX Moves

ASE Technology Holding Co ASX 31.63 1.91 6.43%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $31.63

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.5% ±$1.10	$30.53 – $32.73	$30.31 – $32.95	$29.28 – $33.98
2 sessions	±4.8% ±$1.52	$30.11 – $33.15	$29.78 – $33.48	$28.34 – $34.92
3 sessions	±6.1% ±$1.92	$29.71 – $33.55	$29.34 – $33.92	$27.54 – $35.72
1 week	±7.7% ±$2.44	$29.19 – $34.07	$28.64 – $34.62	$26.43 – $36.83
2 weeks	±10.8% ±$3.43	$28.20 – $35.06	$27.39 – $35.87	$24.32 – $38.94
3 weeks	±12.9% ±$4.09	$27.54 – $35.72	$26.55 – $36.71	$22.99 – $40.27
1 month	±15.1% ±$4.76	$26.87 – $36.39	$25.69 – $37.57	$21.54 – $41.72

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.35%

Average actual move

5.57%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-1.33%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 13, 2025	±6.35%	+5.57%	0.88×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →