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Axon Enterprise AXON 382.56 -41.62 -9.81%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $339.41
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±16.4% ±$55.70 $283.71 – $395.11 $269.59 – $409.23 $217.97 – $460.85
2 sessions Earnings ±17.4% ±$59.23 $280.18 – $398.64 $265.69 – $413.13 $211.08 – $467.74
3 sessions Earnings ±18.4% ±$62.32 $277.09 – $401.73 $262.70 – $416.12 $205.68 – $473.14
1 week Earnings ±19.1% ±$64.73 $274.68 – $404.14 $259.07 – $419.75 $203.41 – $475.41
2 weeks Earnings ±20.2% ±$68.66 $270.75 – $408.07 $254.63 – $424.19 $194.69 – $484.13
3 weeks Earnings ±21.2% ±$72.02 $267.39 – $411.43 $250.25 – $428.57 $188.03 – $490.79
1 month Earnings ±22.3% ±$75.79 $263.62 – $415.20 $245.36 – $433.46 $180.06 – $498.76
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. AXON reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±13.05%
Average actual move
13.86%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 4
Median IV change
-42.29%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2026 ±13.02% -14.28% 1.10× —
May 07, 2026 ±14.58% +10.63% 0.73× —
August 05, 2025 ±12.25% +16.41% 1.34× —
May 08, 2025 ±12.34% +14.13% 1.14× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →