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AXT Inc AXTI 38.88 2.16 5.88%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $38.85
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±6.0% ±$2.32 $36.53 – $41.17 $36.07 – $41.63 $33.88 – $43.82
2 sessions ±8.3% ±$3.22 $35.63 – $42.07 $34.95 – $42.75 $31.90 – $45.80
3 sessions ±10.4% ±$4.06 $34.79 – $42.91 $34.01 – $43.69 $30.21 – $47.49
1 week ±13.3% ±$5.16 $33.69 – $44.01 $32.54 – $45.16 $27.86 – $49.84
2 weeks ±18.4% ±$7.16 $31.69 – $46.01 $29.99 – $47.71 $23.56 – $54.14
3 weeks ±21.4% ±$8.33 $30.52 – $47.18 $28.49 – $49.21 $21.25 – $56.45
1 month ±24.3% ±$9.43 $29.42 – $48.28 $27.07 – $50.63 $18.85 – $58.85
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.15%
Average actual move
19.15%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 30, 2026 ±13.47% -9.56% 0.71× —
July 31, 2026 ±16.83% +28.74% 1.71× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →