Bloom Energy Corporation BE 200.4 -13.61 -6.36% Regime: Trend Down (95%)
Expected move
November 04, 2026 close · $200.38| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±4.6% ±$9.18 | $191.20 – $209.56 | $189.36 – $211.40 | $180.70 – $220.06 |
| 2 sessions | ±6.4% ±$12.76 | $187.62 – $213.14 | $184.91 – $215.85 | $172.87 – $227.89 |
| 3 sessions | ±7.8% ±$15.63 | $184.75 – $216.01 | $181.72 – $219.04 | $167.10 – $233.66 |
| 1 week | ±9.7% ±$19.42 | $180.96 – $219.80 | $176.63 – $224.13 | $159.02 – $241.74 |
| 2 weeks | ±13.2% ±$26.41 | $173.97 – $226.79 | $167.72 – $233.04 | $144.03 – $256.73 |
| 3 weeks | ±15.8% ±$31.62 | $168.76 – $232.00 | $161.07 – $239.69 | $133.55 – $267.21 |
| 1 month | ±18.1% ±$36.25 | $164.13 – $236.63 | $155.13 – $245.63 | $123.53 – $277.23 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±14.51%
Average actual move
9.10%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-28.37%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 23, 2026 | ±9.53% | -11.24% | 1.18× | — |
| July 29, 2026 | ±22.84% | -1.85% | 0.08× | 186.5% → 149.2% |
| April 29, 2026 | ±14.87% | +27.21% | 1.83× | — |
| August 01, 2025 | ±11.43% | -1.79% | 0.16× | 96.8% → 72.3% |
| May 01, 2025 | ±13.10% | -8.24% | 0.63× | 102.6% → 70.3% |
| February 28, 2025 | ±15.30% | +4.25% | 0.28× | 121.6% → 77.4% |