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KE Holdings Inc BEKE 18.4 -0.45 -2.39%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $18.40
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$0.29 $18.11 – $18.69 $18.05 – $18.75 $17.78 – $19.02
2 sessions ±2.2% ±$0.40 $18.00 – $18.80 $17.91 – $18.89 $17.53 – $19.27
3 sessions ±2.8% ±$0.51 $17.89 – $18.91 $17.79 – $19.01 $17.32 – $19.48
1 week Earnings ±6.5% ±$1.19 $17.21 – $19.59 $16.92 – $19.88 $15.90 – $20.90
2 weeks Earnings ±7.5% ±$1.37 $17.03 – $19.77 $16.70 – $20.10 $15.50 – $21.30
3 weeks Earnings ±8.3% ±$1.53 $16.87 – $19.93 $16.50 – $20.30 $15.18 – $21.62
1 month Earnings ±9.2% ±$1.69 $16.71 – $20.09 $16.30 – $20.50 $14.84 – $21.96
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BEKE reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.96%
Average actual move
4.12%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 6
Median IV change
-25.25%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 21, 2026 ±5.59% +4.47% 0.80× —
May 19, 2026 ±6.46% +5.17% 0.80× 56.3% → 45.3%
August 26, 2025 ±7.20% -1.28% 0.18× —
May 15, 2025 ±6.75% -5.29% 0.78× 56.6% → 36.8%
March 18, 2025 ±8.37% -7.25% 0.87× —
November 21, 2024 ±7.41% -1.24% 0.17× 63.4% → 47.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →