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The Buckle BKE 47.88 1.66 3.59%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $47.88
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$0.67 $47.21 – $48.55 $47.08 – $48.68 $46.45 – $49.31
2 sessions ±1.9% ±$0.93 $46.95 – $48.81 $46.75 – $49.01 $45.88 – $49.88
3 sessions ±2.4% ±$1.17 $46.71 – $49.05 $46.49 – $49.27 $45.39 – $50.37
1 week ±3.1% ±$1.48 $46.40 – $49.36 $46.06 – $49.70 $44.72 – $51.04
2 weeks ±4.4% ±$2.09 $45.79 – $49.97 $45.30 – $50.46 $43.43 – $52.33
3 weeks Earnings ±7.1% ±$3.39 $44.49 – $51.27 $43.69 – $52.07 $40.77 – $54.99
1 month Earnings ±7.9% ±$3.78 $44.10 – $51.66 $43.19 – $52.57 $39.94 – $55.82
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BKE reports in 12 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.41%
Average actual move
2.09%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-21.26%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 21, 2026 ±4.75% +2.74% 0.58× —
March 13, 2026 ±7.01% -0.75% 0.11× —
March 14, 2025 ±7.47% +2.79% 0.37× 63.4% → 42.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →