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Bullish BLSH 21.31 0.6 2.9%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $21.32
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.2% ±$0.68 $20.63 – $22.00 $20.49 – $22.14 $19.84 – $22.79
2 sessions ±4.5% ±$0.95 $20.36 – $22.27 $20.16 – $22.47 $19.25 – $23.38
3 sessions ±5.7% ±$1.20 $20.11 – $22.52 $19.88 – $22.75 $18.75 – $23.88
1 week ±7.2% ±$1.54 $19.78 – $22.85 $19.44 – $23.19 $18.05 – $24.58
2 weeks Earnings ±16.1% ±$3.45 $17.87 – $24.76 $17.06 – $25.57 $14.06 – $28.57
3 weeks Earnings ±17.8% ±$3.79 $17.53 – $25.10 $16.62 – $26.01 $13.35 – $29.28
1 month Earnings ±19.5% ±$4.16 $17.15 – $25.48 $16.15 – $26.48 $12.57 – $30.06
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BLSH reports in 8 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.56%
Average actual move
8.60%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026 ±8.87% +11.57% 1.30× —
May 14, 2026 ±12.26% -5.62% 0.46× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →