BR Moves

Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc BR 190.4 -3.52 -1.82%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $190.40

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.4% ±$2.65	$187.75 – $193.05	$187.22 – $193.58	$184.71 – $196.09
2 sessions	±1.9% ±$3.69	$186.71 – $194.09	$185.93 – $194.87	$182.46 – $198.34
3 sessions	±2.4% ±$4.65	$185.75 – $195.05	$184.86 – $195.94	$180.52 – $200.28
1 week	±3.1% ±$5.90	$184.50 – $196.30	$183.18 – $197.62	$177.83 – $202.97
2 weeks	±4.3% ±$8.28	$182.12 – $198.68	$180.16 – $200.64	$172.73 – $208.07
3 weeks	±5.4% ±$10.28	$180.12 – $200.68	$177.61 – $203.19	$168.66 – $212.14
1 month	±6.5% ±$12.28	$178.12 – $202.68	$175.07 – $205.73	$164.37 – $216.43

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±4.99%

Average actual move

6.79%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-26.15%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 05, 2025	±4.99%	+6.79%	1.36×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →