Dutch Bros Inc BROS 43.99 0.41 0.94%
Expected move
November 04, 2026 close · $43.72| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session Earnings | ±10.7% ±$4.68 | $39.05 – $48.40 | $37.86 – $49.59 | $33.53 – $53.92 |
| 2 sessions Earnings | ±11.4% ±$5.01 | $38.72 – $48.73 | $37.49 – $49.96 | $32.88 – $54.57 |
| 3 sessions Earnings | ±12.1% ±$5.31 | $38.42 – $49.03 | $37.20 – $50.25 | $32.35 – $55.10 |
| 1 week Earnings | ±12.7% ±$5.58 | $38.15 – $49.30 | $36.81 – $50.64 | $32.02 – $55.43 |
| 2 weeks Earnings | ±13.8% ±$6.05 | $37.68 – $49.77 | $36.26 – $51.19 | $30.98 – $56.47 |
| 3 weeks Earnings | ±14.8% ±$6.46 | $37.27 – $50.18 | $35.73 – $51.72 | $30.16 – $57.29 |
| 1 month Earnings | ±15.8% ±$6.90 | $36.83 – $50.62 | $35.16 – $52.29 | $29.21 – $58.24 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±13.60%
Average actual move
17.53%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 5
Median IV change
-52.37%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 06, 2026 | ±9.94% | -18.79% | 1.89× | — |
| May 07, 2026 | ±12.28% | -9.35% | 0.76× | — |
| August 07, 2025 | ±15.57% | +21.60% | 1.39× | — |
| May 08, 2025 | ±14.86% | +8.83% | 0.59× | 117.3% → 55.9% |
| February 13, 2025 | ±15.38% | +29.10% | 1.89× | — |