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Casey's General Stores Inc CASY 674.84 9.45 1.42%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $674.84
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.7% ±$11.61 $663.23 – $686.45 $660.94 – $688.74 $650.01 – $699.67
2 sessions ±2.4% ±$16.13 $658.71 – $690.97 $655.34 – $694.34 $640.15 – $709.53
3 sessions ±3.0% ±$20.25 $654.59 – $695.09 $650.68 – $699.00 $631.65 – $718.03
1 week ±3.8% ±$25.78 $649.06 – $700.62 $643.32 – $706.36 $619.98 – $729.70
2 weeks ±5.4% ±$36.17 $638.67 – $711.01 $630.10 – $719.58 $597.71 – $751.97
3 weeks ±6.6% ±$44.81 $630.03 – $719.65 $619.17 – $730.51 $580.23 – $769.45
1 month ±7.9% ±$53.31 $621.53 – $728.15 $608.23 – $741.45 $561.74 – $787.94
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CASY reports in 24 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.18%
Average actual move
8.60%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 7
Median IV change
-54.57%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 09, 2026 ±9.07% -14.24% 1.57× —
June 10, 2026 ±8.65% +20.29% 2.35× —
March 10, 2026 ±7.89% +3.82% 0.48× —
September 09, 2025 ±8.33% +3.80% 0.46× —
June 10, 2025 ±7.47% +11.59% 1.55× —
March 12, 2025 ±8.30% +6.17% 0.74× —
December 10, 2024 ±7.55% -0.30% 0.04× 54.2% → 24.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →