CHYM Moves

Chime Financial CHYM 31.33 1.15 3.81%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $31.00

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.8% ±$0.86	$30.14 – $31.86	$29.97 – $32.03	$29.16 – $32.84
2 sessions	±3.8% ±$1.19	$29.81 – $32.19	$29.56 – $32.44	$28.44 – $33.56
3 sessions	±4.8% ±$1.50	$29.50 – $32.50	$29.21 – $32.79	$27.81 – $34.19
1 week	±6.1% ±$1.90	$29.10 – $32.90	$28.67 – $33.33	$26.95 – $35.05
2 weeks	±8.6% ±$2.67	$28.33 – $33.67	$27.70 – $34.30	$25.30 – $36.70
3 weeks	±10.1% ±$3.14	$27.86 – $34.14	$27.10 – $34.90	$24.37 – $37.63
1 month	±11.7% ±$3.61	$27.39 – $34.61	$26.49 – $35.51	$23.34 – $38.66

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±15.63%

Average actual move

13.60%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-26.53%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±14.50%	-12.52%	0.86×	—
August 08, 2025	±16.76%	-14.68%	0.88×	137.0% → 100.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →