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Cellebrite DI Ltd CLBT 12.7 0.06 0.47%
Expected move
November 11, 2026 close · $12.70| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session Earnings | ±10.5% ±$1.34 | $11.36 – $14.04 | $11.02 – $14.38 | $9.78 – $15.62 |
| 2 sessions Earnings | ±11.2% ±$1.42 | $11.28 – $14.12 | $10.93 – $14.47 | $9.61 – $15.79 |
| 3 sessions Earnings | ±11.8% ±$1.50 | $11.20 – $14.20 | $10.85 – $14.55 | $9.48 – $15.92 |
| 1 week Earnings | ±12.3% ±$1.56 | $11.14 – $14.26 | $10.76 – $14.64 | $9.42 – $15.98 |
| 2 weeks Earnings | ±13.1% ±$1.66 | $11.04 – $14.36 | $10.65 – $14.75 | $9.20 – $16.20 |
| 3 weeks Earnings | ±13.8% ±$1.75 | $10.95 – $14.45 | $10.54 – $14.86 | $9.03 – $16.37 |
| 1 month Earnings | ±14.5% ±$1.84 | $10.86 – $14.54 | $10.41 – $14.99 | $8.82 – $16.58 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±13.19%
Average actual move
7.32%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 4
Median IV change
-56.10%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 11, 2026 | ±13.55% | -4.55% | 0.34× | — |
| May 14, 2025 | ±10.69% | -11.48% | 1.07× | — |
| February 13, 2025 | ±13.24% | -12.92% | 0.98× | — |
| November 06, 2024 | ±15.27% | -0.31% | 0.02× | 110.0% → 48.3% |