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Corpay CPAY 447.0 28.4 6.78%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $447.00
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$6.17 $440.83 – $453.17 $439.58 – $454.42 $433.72 – $460.28
2 sessions ±1.9% ±$8.58 $438.42 – $455.58 $436.58 – $457.42 $428.45 – $465.55
3 sessions ±2.4% ±$10.82 $436.18 – $457.82 $434.08 – $459.92 $423.93 – $470.07
1 week ±3.1% ±$13.77 $433.23 – $460.77 $430.19 – $463.81 $417.68 – $476.32
2 weeks ±4.3% ±$19.31 $427.69 – $466.31 $423.13 – $470.87 $405.79 – $488.21
3 weeks ±5.1% ±$22.98 $424.02 – $469.98 $418.44 – $475.56 $398.46 – $495.54
1 month ±5.9% ±$26.46 $420.54 – $473.46 $413.97 – $480.03 $390.86 – $503.14
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.37%
Average actual move
6.32%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±6.79% +12.51% 1.84× —
May 07, 2025 ±5.95% -0.13% 0.02× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →