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Coupang CPNG 16.42 -0.63 -3.7%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $16.43
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.5% ±$0.40 $16.02 – $16.83 $15.93 – $16.92 $15.55 – $17.30
2 sessions ±3.5% ±$0.56 $15.86 – $16.99 $15.74 – $17.11 $15.20 – $17.65
3 sessions ±4.3% ±$0.71 $15.71 – $17.14 $15.57 – $17.28 $14.90 – $17.95
1 week ±5.5% ±$0.90 $15.52 – $17.33 $15.31 – $17.54 $14.49 – $18.36
2 weeks ±7.1% ±$1.16 $15.26 – $17.59 $14.98 – $17.87 $13.93 – $18.92
3 weeks ±8.7% ±$1.43 $14.99 – $17.86 $14.64 – $18.21 $13.39 – $19.46
1 month ±9.9% ±$1.62 $14.80 – $18.05 $14.40 – $18.45 $12.99 – $19.86
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.39%
Average actual move
8.46%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-38.70%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 04, 2026 ±9.62% +11.95% 1.24× —
August 05, 2026 ±8.88% -4.65% 0.52× —
May 06, 2026 ±8.38% -13.82% 1.65× —
August 06, 2025 ±7.12% -6.05% 0.85× 48.8% → 30.1%
May 07, 2025 ±7.60% +10.83% 1.42× —
February 26, 2025 ±8.71% +3.48% 0.40× 58.1% → 35.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →