CWEN Moves

Clearway Energy CWEN 34.28 -1.43 -4.0%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $34.03

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.4% ±$0.48	$33.56 – $34.51	$33.46 – $34.60	$33.02 – $35.05
2 sessions	±1.9% ±$0.66	$33.37 – $34.69	$33.23 – $34.83	$32.61 – $35.46
3 sessions Earnings	±6.3% ±$2.14	$31.90 – $36.17	$31.40 – $36.66	$29.45 – $38.62
1 week Earnings	±6.7% ±$2.28	$31.76 – $36.31	$31.20 – $36.86	$29.24 – $38.82
2 weeks Earnings	±7.5% ±$2.55	$31.49 – $36.58	$30.89 – $37.17	$28.68 – $39.39
3 weeks Earnings	±8.1% ±$2.77	$31.27 – $36.80	$30.61 – $37.46	$28.22 – $39.85
1 month Earnings	±8.8% ±$3.01	$31.03 – $37.04	$30.30 – $37.76	$27.71 – $40.35

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CWEN reports in 3 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±7.21%

Average actual move

0.05%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-14.11%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026	±7.21%	+0.05%	0.01×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →