DFH Moves

Dream Finders Homes DFH 12.4 -0.06 -0.48%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $12.40

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.0% ±$0.37	$12.03 – $12.77	$11.96 – $12.84	$11.61 – $13.19
2 sessions	±4.1% ±$0.51	$11.89 – $12.91	$11.78 – $13.02	$11.30 – $13.50
3 sessions	±5.2% ±$0.64	$11.76 – $13.04	$11.63 – $13.17	$11.03 – $13.77
1 week	±6.6% ±$0.82	$11.58 – $13.22	$11.40 – $13.40	$10.66 – $14.14
2 weeks	±9.3% ±$1.15	$11.25 – $13.55	$10.98 – $13.82	$9.95 – $14.85
3 weeks	±11.5% ±$1.42	$10.98 – $13.82	$10.63 – $14.17	$9.39 – $15.41
1 month	±13.7% ±$1.70	$10.70 – $14.10	$10.28 – $14.52	$8.80 – $16.00

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

No completed report with a comparable pre-report straddle.