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Trump Media & Technology Group DJT 3.99 -0.03 -0.75%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $3.99
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±6.2% ±$0.25 $3.74 – $4.24 $3.69 – $4.29 $3.46 – $4.52
2 sessions ±8.6% ±$0.34 $3.65 – $4.33 $3.58 – $4.40 $3.25 – $4.73
3 sessions ±10.8% ±$0.43 $3.56 – $4.42 $3.48 – $4.50 $3.07 – $4.91
1 week ±13.7% ±$0.55 $3.44 – $4.54 $3.32 – $4.66 $2.82 – $5.16
2 weeks ±17.8% ±$0.71 $3.28 – $4.70 $3.11 – $4.87 $2.47 – $5.51
3 weeks ±19.1% ±$0.76 $3.23 – $4.75 $3.04 – $4.94 $2.38 – $5.60
1 month ±20.8% ±$0.83 $3.16 – $4.82 $2.95 – $5.03 $2.23 – $5.75
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±16.07%
Average actual move
3.80%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 6
Median IV change
+0.72%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 11, 2026 ±8.95% -5.11% 0.57× —
March 02, 2026 ±10.32% +3.45% 0.33× —
August 04, 2025 ±6.12% -0.18% 0.03× 54.8% → 53.1%
May 12, 2025 ±7.93% +3.05% 0.38× 73.0% → 76.3%
November 06, 2024 ±53.26% +5.94% 0.11× 391.2% → 197.5%
August 12, 2024 ±9.86% -5.07% 0.51× 96.0% → 120.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →