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DraftKings Inc DKNG 18.51 -5.01 -21.3% Regime: Flow Distribution (99%)

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $18.54
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.0% ±$0.55 $17.99 – $19.09 $17.88 – $19.20 $17.36 – $19.72
2 sessions ±4.1% ±$0.77 $17.77 – $19.31 $17.61 – $19.47 $16.89 – $20.19
3 sessions ±5.2% ±$0.96 $17.58 – $19.50 $17.39 – $19.69 $16.49 – $20.59
1 week ±6.6% ±$1.22 $17.32 – $19.76 $17.04 – $20.04 $15.93 – $21.15
2 weeks ±9.2% ±$1.70 $16.84 – $20.24 $16.43 – $20.65 $14.90 – $22.18
3 weeks ±10.4% ±$1.94 $16.60 – $20.48 $16.13 – $20.95 $14.45 – $22.63
1 month ±12.6% ±$2.33 $16.21 – $20.87 $15.63 – $21.45 $13.60 – $23.48
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.42%
Average actual move
8.15%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-35.69%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 06, 2026 ±8.95% -21.30% 2.38× —
August 07, 2026 ±10.31% +8.39% 0.81× —
May 08, 2026 ±9.66% +1.19% 0.12× —
August 07, 2025 ±9.15% -0.35% 0.04× 64.9% → 42.0%
May 09, 2025 ±8.76% +2.49% 0.28× 75.7% → 48.3%
February 14, 2025 ±9.72% +15.16% 1.56× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →