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Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings DNA 12.37 1.08 9.57%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $12.37
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.9% ±$0.61 $11.76 – $12.98 $11.64 – $13.10 $11.06 – $13.68
2 sessions ±6.8% ±$0.85 $11.52 – $13.22 $11.34 – $13.40 $10.55 – $14.19
3 sessions ±8.6% ±$1.07 $11.30 – $13.44 $11.10 – $13.64 $10.10 – $14.64
1 week ±10.9% ±$1.35 $11.02 – $13.72 $10.71 – $14.03 $9.49 – $15.25
2 weeks ±15.2% ±$1.88 $10.49 – $14.25 $10.04 – $14.70 $8.35 – $16.39
3 weeks ±18.3% ±$2.27 $10.10 – $14.64 $9.55 – $15.19 $7.58 – $17.16
1 month ±21.5% ±$2.66 $9.71 – $15.03 $9.05 – $15.69 $6.74 – $18.00
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±19.84%
Average actual move
11.08%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-28.93%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±19.62% -13.47% 0.69× —
August 08, 2025 ±20.06% -8.69% 0.43× 173.1% → 108.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →