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DigitalOcean Holdings DOCN 72.48 1.78 2.52%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $72.48
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±5.1% ±$3.70 $68.78 – $76.18 $68.03 – $76.93 $64.53 – $80.43
2 sessions ±7.1% ±$5.15 $67.33 – $77.63 $66.23 – $78.73 $61.36 – $83.60
3 sessions ±9.0% ±$6.49 $65.99 – $78.97 $64.73 – $80.23 $58.66 – $86.30
1 week ±11.4% ±$8.26 $64.22 – $80.74 $62.39 – $82.57 $54.90 – $90.06
2 weeks ±15.3% ±$11.08 $61.40 – $83.56 $58.77 – $86.19 $48.84 – $96.12
3 weeks ±18.6% ±$13.52 $58.96 – $86.00 $55.67 – $89.29 $43.91 – $101.05
1 month ±21.5% ±$15.57 $56.91 – $88.05 $53.04 – $91.92 $39.47 – $105.49
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.82%
Average actual move
17.04%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 5
Median IV change
-27.12%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 03, 2026 ±15.93% +0.79% 0.05× —
August 04, 2026 ±17.34% +1.35% 0.08× —
May 05, 2026 ±16.04% +40.40% 2.52× —
August 05, 2025 ±16.38% +28.88% 1.76× 117.0% → 101.9%
May 06, 2025 ±13.43% -13.77% 1.02× 97.1% → 70.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →