DT Moves

Dynatrace DT 43.44 -0.26 -0.59%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $43.45

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.3% ±$0.98	$42.47 – $44.43	$42.28 – $44.62	$41.36 – $45.54
2 sessions	±3.1% ±$1.36	$42.09 – $44.81	$41.80 – $45.10	$40.52 – $46.38
3 sessions	±3.9% ±$1.71	$41.74 – $45.16	$41.41 – $45.49	$39.81 – $47.09
1 week	±5.0% ±$2.17	$41.28 – $45.62	$40.80 – $46.10	$38.82 – $48.08
2 weeks	±7.0% ±$3.05	$40.40 – $46.50	$39.68 – $47.22	$36.95 – $49.95
3 weeks	±8.6% ±$3.71	$39.74 – $47.16	$38.83 – $48.07	$35.59 – $51.31
1 month	±10.1% ±$4.39	$39.06 – $47.84	$37.98 – $48.92	$34.15 – $52.75

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.41%

Average actual move

6.15%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 4

Median IV change

-49.84%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 13, 2026	±13.84%	-11.43%	0.83×	—
February 09, 2026	±11.50%	+7.33%	0.64×	—
August 06, 2025	±7.77%	0.00%	0.00×	—
May 14, 2025	±8.56%	+5.86%	0.68×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →