ECG Moves

Everus Construction Group ECG 76.6 4.16 5.74%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $76.02

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.4% ±$2.58	$73.44 – $78.59	$72.92 – $79.11	$70.48 – $81.55
2 sessions	±4.7% ±$3.58	$72.43 – $79.60	$71.67 – $80.36	$68.28 – $83.75
3 sessions	±5.9% ±$4.52	$71.50 – $80.53	$70.63 – $81.40	$66.40 – $85.63
1 week	±7.5% ±$5.73	$70.28 – $81.75	$68.99 – $83.04	$63.78 – $88.25
2 weeks	±10.6% ±$8.05	$67.96 – $84.07	$66.05 – $85.98	$58.83 – $93.20
3 weeks	±12.4% ±$9.42	$66.60 – $85.43	$64.31 – $87.72	$56.12 – $95.91
1 month	±14.2% ±$10.80	$65.21 – $86.82	$62.52 – $89.51	$53.10 – $98.93

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±13.84%

Average actual move

0.50%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026	±13.84%	+0.50%	0.04×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →