Expeditors International of Washington EXPD 184.61 -4.26 -2.26%
Expected move
November 06, 2026 close · $184.61| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.5% ±$2.79 | $181.82 – $187.40 | $181.25 – $187.97 | $178.63 – $190.59 |
| 2 sessions | ±2.1% ±$3.88 | $180.73 – $188.49 | $179.90 – $189.32 | $176.23 – $192.99 |
| 3 sessions | ±2.6% ±$4.89 | $179.72 – $189.50 | $178.78 – $190.44 | $174.20 – $195.02 |
| 1 week | ±3.4% ±$6.22 | $178.39 – $190.83 | $177.00 – $192.22 | $171.37 – $197.85 |
| 2 weeks | ±4.7% ±$8.71 | $175.90 – $193.32 | $173.83 – $195.39 | $166.00 – $203.22 |
| 3 weeks | ±5.4% ±$9.99 | $174.62 – $194.60 | $172.20 – $197.02 | $163.51 – $205.71 |
| 1 month | ±6.1% ±$11.30 | $173.31 – $195.91 | $170.51 – $198.71 | $160.65 – $208.57 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±5.16%
Average actual move
4.73%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-13.80%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 05, 2026 | ±7.27% | +9.57% | 1.32× | — |
| August 05, 2025 | ±4.51% | -0.50% | 0.11× | — |
| May 06, 2025 | ±4.92% | -5.00% | 1.02× | — |
| February 18, 2025 | ±3.94% | +3.85% | 0.98× | 23.4% → 20.2% |