FIG Moves

Figma FIG 22.13 1.1 5.23%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $22.57

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±10.7% ±$2.41	$20.16 – $24.98	$19.54 – $25.60	$17.31 – $27.83
2 sessions Earnings	±11.6% ±$2.61	$19.96 – $25.18	$19.32 – $25.82	$16.91 – $28.23
3 sessions Earnings	±12.4% ±$2.79	$19.78 – $25.36	$19.14 – $26.00	$16.59 – $28.55
1 week Earnings	±13.2% ±$2.97	$19.60 – $25.54	$18.88 – $26.26	$16.32 – $28.82
2 weeks Earnings	±14.7% ±$3.32	$19.25 – $25.89	$18.46 – $26.68	$15.56 – $29.58
3 weeks Earnings	±16.1% ±$3.62	$18.95 – $26.19	$18.09 – $27.05	$14.96 – $30.18
1 month Earnings	±17.5% ±$3.94	$18.63 – $26.51	$17.68 – $27.46	$14.28 – $30.86

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. FIG reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±16.02%

Average actual move

14.05%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2026	±14.40%	-14.85%	1.03×	—
May 15, 2026	±17.64%	+13.24%	0.75×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →