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Fiserv FISV 62.05 3.65 6.25%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $62.46
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$1.25 $61.22 – $63.71 $60.97 – $63.96 $59.80 – $65.13
2 sessions ±2.8% ±$1.73 $60.73 – $64.19 $60.37 – $64.56 $58.73 – $66.19
3 sessions ±3.3% ±$2.07 $60.40 – $64.53 $60.00 – $64.93 $58.06 – $66.87
1 week ±4.0% ±$2.52 $59.95 – $64.98 $59.39 – $65.54 $57.10 – $67.82
2 weeks ±5.3% ±$3.31 $59.15 – $65.77 $58.37 – $66.56 $55.41 – $69.52
3 weeks ±6.4% ±$4.01 $58.45 – $66.47 $57.47 – $67.45 $53.99 – $70.94
1 month ±7.9% ±$4.94 $57.53 – $67.40 $56.30 – $68.63 $52.00 – $72.93
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.29%
Average actual move
7.09%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 3
Median IV change
-28.45%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 03, 2026 ±9.53% +12.46% 1.31× —
August 06, 2026 ±8.78% 0.00% 0.00× —
May 05, 2026 ±9.55% -8.80% 0.92× 80.8% → 57.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →