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Fifth Third Bancorp FITB 54.72 0.79 1.46%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $55.00
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.1% ±$0.58 $54.42 – $55.58 $54.30 – $55.70 $53.75 – $56.25
2 sessions ±1.5% ±$0.81 $54.19 – $55.81 $54.02 – $55.98 $53.25 – $56.75
3 sessions ±1.9% ±$1.02 $53.98 – $56.02 $53.78 – $56.22 $52.82 – $57.18
1 week ±2.4% ±$1.30 $53.70 – $56.30 $53.41 – $56.59 $52.22 – $57.78
2 weeks ±3.3% ±$1.83 $53.17 – $56.83 $52.74 – $57.26 $51.10 – $58.90
3 weeks ±31.9% ±$17.55 $37.45 – $72.55 $33.18 – $76.82 $17.91 – $92.09
1 month ±55.4% ±$30.46 $24.54 – $85.46 $16.97 – $93.03 $-9.60 – $119.60
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±3.63%
Average actual move
1.35%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-13.16%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
July 17, 2026 ±3.66% -2.29% 0.63× —
July 17, 2025 ±3.31% -1.02% 0.31× 26.0% → 21.8%
April 17, 2025 ±3.92% -0.73% 0.19× 41.4% → 34.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →