FLEX Moves

Flex Ltd FLEX 77.24 -10.86 -12.33%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $77.24

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.3% ±$2.55	$74.69 – $79.79	$74.18 – $80.30	$71.77 – $82.71
2 sessions	±4.6% ±$3.55	$73.69 – $80.79	$72.95 – $81.53	$69.59 – $84.89
3 sessions	±5.8% ±$4.46	$72.78 – $81.70	$71.91 – $82.57	$67.73 – $86.75
1 week	±7.3% ±$5.68	$71.56 – $82.92	$70.30 – $84.18	$65.15 – $89.33
2 weeks	±10.3% ±$7.96	$69.28 – $85.20	$67.39 – $87.09	$60.25 – $94.23
3 weeks	±13.0% ±$10.06	$67.18 – $87.30	$64.73 – $89.75	$55.98 – $98.50
1 month	±15.8% ±$12.24	$65.00 – $89.48	$61.95 – $92.53	$51.28 – $103.20

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.77%

Average actual move

3.21%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-22.35%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2025	±8.77%	+3.21%	0.37×	66.0% → 44.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →