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Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV 254.95 4.26 1.7%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $254.30
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$4.60 $249.70 – $258.90 $248.78 – $259.82 $244.41 – $264.19
2 sessions ±2.5% ±$6.41 $247.89 – $260.71 $246.54 – $262.06 $240.49 – $268.11
3 sessions ±3.2% ±$8.06 $246.24 – $262.36 $244.69 – $263.91 $237.13 – $271.47
1 week Earnings ±5.4% ±$13.71 $240.59 – $268.01 $237.29 – $271.31 $225.49 – $283.11
2 weeks Earnings ±6.9% ±$17.60 $236.70 – $271.90 $232.58 – $276.02 $217.22 – $291.38
3 weeks Earnings ±8.1% ±$20.62 $233.68 – $274.92 $228.74 – $279.86 $210.94 – $297.66
1 month Earnings ±9.3% ±$23.70 $230.60 – $278.00 $224.90 – $283.70 $204.48 – $304.12
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. FNV reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.90%
Average actual move
2.02%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 7
Median IV change
-15.51%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 12, 2026 ±6.11% -1.99% 0.33× —
May 13, 2026 ±4.05% +1.60% 0.39× —
March 11, 2026 ±6.76% +1.20% 0.18× —
August 11, 2025 ±3.63% +2.36% 0.65× —
May 09, 2025 ±4.21% +2.41% 0.57× 35.5% → 30.0%
March 10, 2025 ±5.25% +0.23% 0.04× 32.9% → 34.0%
November 07, 2024 ±4.29% -4.37% 1.02× 33.7% → 28.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →