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H FUL 49.86 -0.36 -0.72%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $49.98
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$0.99 $48.98 – $50.97 $48.78 – $51.17 $47.84 – $52.11
2 sessions ±2.8% ±$1.38 $48.59 – $51.36 $48.30 – $51.65 $46.98 – $52.97
3 sessions ±3.5% ±$1.74 $48.23 – $51.72 $47.89 – $52.06 $46.26 – $53.69
1 week ±4.4% ±$2.21 $47.76 – $52.19 $47.26 – $52.69 $45.25 – $54.70
2 weeks ±6.2% ±$3.12 $46.86 – $53.09 $46.12 – $53.83 $43.33 – $56.62
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.20%
Average actual move
2.99%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
January 16, 2025 ±6.20% -2.99% 0.48× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →