GNW Moves

Genworth Financial GNW 9.19 0.16 1.77%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $9.19

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.3% ±$0.12	$9.07 – $9.31	$9.04 – $9.34	$8.93 – $9.45
2 sessions	±1.9% ±$0.17	$9.02 – $9.36	$8.98 – $9.40	$8.82 – $9.56
3 sessions	±2.3% ±$0.21	$8.98 – $9.40	$8.93 – $9.45	$8.73 – $9.65
1 week	±3.0% ±$0.27	$8.92 – $9.46	$8.86 – $9.52	$8.61 – $9.77
2 weeks	±4.2% ±$0.38	$8.81 – $9.57	$8.72 – $9.66	$8.37 – $10.01
3 weeks	±5.2% ±$0.47	$8.72 – $9.66	$8.60 – $9.78	$8.19 – $10.19
1 month	±6.1% ±$0.56	$8.63 – $9.75	$8.49 – $9.89	$8.00 – $10.38

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. GNW reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.15%

Average actual move

7.92%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2025	±6.15%	-7.92%	1.29×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →