HAS Moves

Hasbro HAS 118.91 -0.63 -0.53%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $118.91

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.4% ±$1.64	$117.27 – $120.55	$116.94 – $120.88	$115.39 – $122.43
2 sessions	±1.9% ±$2.28	$116.63 – $121.19	$116.15 – $121.67	$113.99 – $123.83
3 sessions	±2.4% ±$2.87	$116.04 – $121.78	$115.49 – $122.33	$112.80 – $125.02
1 week	±3.1% ±$3.65	$115.26 – $122.56	$114.45 – $123.37	$111.13 – $126.69
2 weeks	±4.3% ±$5.13	$113.78 – $124.04	$112.57 – $125.25	$107.98 – $129.84
3 weeks	±5.3% ±$6.34	$112.57 – $125.25	$111.03 – $126.79	$105.51 – $132.31
1 month	±6.3% ±$7.55	$111.36 – $126.46	$109.48 – $128.34	$102.89 – $134.93

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±7.52%

Average actual move

12.95%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-17.16%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 20, 2025	±7.52%	+12.95%	1.72×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →