HII Moves

Huntington Ingalls Industries HII 288.74 -0.67 -0.23%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $288.74

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.6% ±$4.48	$284.26 – $293.22	$283.37 – $294.11	$279.15 – $298.33
2 sessions	±2.1% ±$6.21	$282.53 – $294.95	$281.20 – $296.28	$275.31 – $302.17
3 sessions	±2.7% ±$7.82	$280.92 – $296.56	$279.38 – $298.10	$272.05 – $305.43
1 week	±3.5% ±$9.96	$278.78 – $298.70	$276.56 – $300.92	$267.52 – $309.96
2 weeks	±4.8% ±$13.98	$274.76 – $302.72	$271.44 – $306.04	$258.91 – $318.57
3 weeks	±5.9% ±$16.98	$271.76 – $305.72	$267.63 – $309.85	$252.88 – $324.60
1 month	±6.9% ±$19.98	$268.76 – $308.72	$263.79 – $313.69	$246.38 – $331.10

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.22%

Average actual move

10.25%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-40.07%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026	±9.22%	-10.25%	1.11×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →