HNGE Moves

Hinge Health HNGE 115.76 -0.22 -0.19%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $114.18

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.7% ±$3.08	$111.09 – $117.26	$110.48 – $117.88	$107.58 – $120.78
2 sessions	±3.8% ±$4.28	$109.90 – $118.46	$108.99 – $119.36	$104.95 – $123.40
3 sessions	±4.7% ±$5.39	$108.79 – $119.57	$107.75 – $120.61	$102.70 – $125.65
1 week	±6.0% ±$6.85	$107.33 – $121.03	$105.80 – $122.56	$99.59 – $128.77
2 weeks	±8.4% ±$9.61	$104.56 – $123.79	$102.29 – $126.06	$93.67 – $134.68
3 weeks	±10.2% ±$11.60	$102.58 – $125.78	$99.76 – $128.60	$89.66 – $138.69
1 month	±11.9% ±$13.60	$100.58 – $127.78	$97.20 – $131.16	$85.34 – $143.02

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±13.02%

Average actual move

10.23%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 06, 2026	±13.02%	+10.23%	0.79×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →