HNST Moves

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The Honest Company HNST 5.01 0.21 4.48%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 13 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 13, 2026 close · $5.01

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.0% ±$0.16	$4.86 – $5.17	$4.83 – $5.20	$4.69 – $5.34
2 sessions	±4.2% ±$0.22	$4.80 – $5.23	$4.76 – $5.27	$4.56 – $5.47
3 sessions	±5.3% ±$0.27	$4.75 – $5.28	$4.70 – $5.33	$4.45 – $5.58
1 week	±6.7% ±$0.33	$4.68 – $5.35	$4.60 – $5.43	$4.30 – $5.73
2 weeks	±8.5% ±$0.43	$4.59 – $5.44	$4.49 – $5.54	$4.10 – $5.93
3 weeks	±10.2% ±$0.52	$4.50 – $5.53	$4.38 – $5.65	$3.94 – $6.09
1 month	±11.8% ±$0.60	$4.42 – $5.61	$4.27 – $5.76	$3.76 – $6.27

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±15.10%

Average actual move

8.75%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2025	±15.10%	-8.75%	0.58×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →