Honeywell International HON 228.47 4.42 1.97%
Expected move
November 04, 2026 close · $228.48| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.2% ±$2.81 | $225.67 – $231.29 | $225.10 – $231.86 | $222.45 – $234.51 |
| 2 sessions | ±1.7% ±$3.91 | $224.57 – $232.39 | $223.75 – $233.21 | $220.05 – $236.91 |
| 3 sessions | ±2.2% ±$4.94 | $223.54 – $233.42 | $222.61 – $234.35 | $217.99 – $238.97 |
| 1 week | ±2.7% ±$6.26 | $222.22 – $234.74 | $220.83 – $236.13 | $215.14 – $241.82 |
| 2 weeks | ±3.8% ±$8.77 | $219.71 – $237.25 | $217.60 – $239.36 | $209.74 – $247.22 |
| 3 weeks | ±4.8% ±$10.88 | $217.60 – $239.36 | $214.95 – $242.01 | $205.49 – $251.47 |
| 1 month | ±5.7% ±$12.95 | $215.53 – $241.43 | $212.30 – $244.66 | $201.02 – $255.94 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±4.44%
Average actual move
4.52%
Beyond the implied move
4 / 6
Median IV change
-22.23%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 22, 2026 | ±5.03% | +1.67% | 0.33× | — |
| July 23, 2026 | ±4.21% | +5.70% | 1.36× | — |
| April 23, 2026 | ±3.93% | -2.56% | 0.65× | — |
| July 24, 2025 | ±3.97% | -6.18% | 1.56× | — |
| April 29, 2025 | ±5.06% | +5.40% | 1.07× | 41.3% → 28.1% |
| February 06, 2025 | ±4.43% | -5.64% | 1.27× | 33.3% → 29.2% |