JKHY Moves

Henry (Jack) & Associates JKHY 179.16 17.5 10.83%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $178.03

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.4% ±$2.53	$175.50 – $180.56	$174.99 – $181.08	$172.59 – $183.48
2 sessions	±2.0% ±$3.53	$174.51 – $181.56	$173.76 – $182.31	$170.43 – $185.64
3 sessions	±2.5% ±$4.44	$173.60 – $182.47	$172.73 – $183.34	$168.58 – $187.49
1 week	±3.2% ±$5.65	$172.39 – $183.68	$171.13 – $184.94	$166.00 – $190.07
2 weeks	±4.5% ±$7.93	$170.11 – $185.96	$168.24 – $187.82	$161.14 – $194.93
3 weeks	±5.5% ±$9.74	$168.29 – $187.77	$165.93 – $190.14	$157.45 – $198.61
1 month	±6.5% ±$11.50	$166.53 – $189.53	$163.68 – $192.38	$153.66 – $202.41

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.29%

Average actual move

0.22%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-14.05%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2025	±6.29%	-0.22%	0.03×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →