JLL Moves

Jones Lang LaSalle JLL 370.8 -4.45 -1.19%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $372.20

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.7% ±$6.36	$365.84 – $378.56	$364.57 – $379.83	$358.54 – $385.86
2 sessions	±2.4% ±$8.86	$363.34 – $381.06	$361.48 – $382.92	$353.11 – $391.29
3 sessions	±3.0% ±$11.17	$361.03 – $383.37	$358.88 – $385.52	$348.45 – $395.95
1 week	±3.8% ±$14.18	$358.02 – $386.38	$354.86 – $389.54	$342.01 – $402.39
2 weeks	±5.3% ±$19.88	$352.32 – $392.08	$347.60 – $396.80	$329.77 – $414.63
3 weeks	±6.4% ±$23.78	$348.42 – $395.98	$342.65 – $401.75	$321.95 – $422.45
1 month	±7.5% ±$27.73	$344.47 – $399.93	$337.59 – $406.81	$313.43 – $430.97

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.46%

Average actual move

3.03%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 4

Median IV change

-6.25%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 18, 2026	±9.48%	+9.62%	1.01×	—
August 06, 2025	±5.48%	+0.81%	0.15×	—
May 07, 2025	±5.96%	-0.75%	0.13×	—
February 19, 2025	±4.91%	-0.94%	0.19×	29.9% → 28.0%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →