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Kimberly-Clark Corp KMB 108.79 4.33 4.15%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $108.81
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±2.3% ±$2.53 $106.27 – $111.34 $105.63 – $111.98 $103.28 – $114.33
2 sessions Earnings ±2.7% ±$2.97 $105.83 – $111.78 $105.12 – $112.49 $102.37 – $115.24
3 sessions Earnings ±3.1% ±$3.38 $105.43 – $112.18 $104.66 – $112.95 $101.58 – $116.03
1 week Earnings ±3.6% ±$3.92 $104.88 – $112.73 $103.93 – $113.68 $100.56 – $117.05
2 weeks Earnings ±4.6% ±$4.97 $103.83 – $113.78 $102.66 – $114.95 $98.32 – $119.29
3 weeks Earnings ±5.3% ±$5.81 $102.99 – $114.62 $101.61 – $116.00 $96.60 – $121.01
1 month Earnings ±6.1% ±$6.64 $102.16 – $115.45 $100.56 – $117.05 $94.82 – $122.79
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. KMB reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.17%
Average actual move
2.39%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 7
Median IV change
-30.78%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 04, 2026 ±4.49% +3.73% 0.83× 38.1% → 32.7%
April 28, 2026 ±4.33% +0.19% 0.04× 38.7% → 26.8%
January 27, 2026 ±4.82% -0.49% 0.10× —
August 01, 2025 ±3.43% +4.83% 1.41× 27.0% → 22.3%
April 22, 2025 ±4.41% -1.53% 0.35× —
January 28, 2025 ±4.09% -1.50% 0.37× 31.7% → 16.5%
October 22, 2024 ±3.66% -4.48% 1.22× 30.1% → 19.7%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →