LCID Moves

Lucid Group LCID 3.37 0.35 11.59%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $3.36

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±4.0% ±$0.14	$3.22 – $3.50	$3.20 – $3.52	$3.07 – $3.65
2 sessions	±5.6% ±$0.19	$3.17 – $3.55	$3.13 – $3.59	$2.95 – $3.77
3 sessions	±7.1% ±$0.24	$3.12 – $3.60	$3.08 – $3.64	$2.85 – $3.87
1 week Earnings	±19.9% ±$0.67	$2.69 – $4.03	$2.53 – $4.19	$1.95 – $4.77
2 weeks Earnings	±22.1% ±$0.74	$2.62 – $4.10	$2.44 – $4.28	$1.80 – $4.92
3 weeks Earnings	±23.9% ±$0.80	$2.56 – $4.16	$2.36 – $4.36	$1.67 – $5.05

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. LCID reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±15.33%

Average actual move

9.54%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 4

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 05, 2026	±17.74%	-13.88%	0.78×	—
May 06, 2026	±12.64%	-0.96%	0.08×	—
August 06, 2025	±14.46%	-9.71%	0.67×	—
February 26, 2025	±16.48%	-13.60%	0.83×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →