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Intuitive Machines LUNR 10.47 1.85 21.46%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $10.44
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.9% ±$0.40 $10.03 – $10.84 $9.95 – $10.92 $9.57 – $11.30
2 sessions ±5.4% ±$0.56 $9.87 – $11.00 $9.75 – $11.12 $9.22 – $11.65
3 sessions ±6.8% ±$0.71 $9.73 – $11.14 $9.59 – $11.28 $8.92 – $11.95
1 week Earnings ±14.7% ±$1.54 $8.90 – $11.97 $8.53 – $12.34 $7.21 – $13.66
2 weeks Earnings ±17.4% ±$1.81 $8.62 – $12.25 $8.19 – $12.68 $6.61 – $14.26
3 weeks Earnings ±19.6% ±$2.04 $8.39 – $12.48 $7.90 – $12.97 $6.14 – $14.73
1 month Earnings ±21.9% ±$2.29 $8.15 – $12.72 $7.60 – $13.27 $5.63 – $15.24
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. LUNR reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.08%
Average actual move
7.65%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-14.84%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026 ±13.22% +3.60% 0.27× —
May 14, 2026 ±12.42% +2.35% 0.19× —
August 07, 2025 ±13.95% -4.29% 0.31× 109.4% → 87.5%
May 13, 2025 ±13.63% +22.42% 1.64× —
March 25, 2025 ±11.12% -0.22% 0.02× 115.1% → 104.0%
November 14, 2024 ±26.15% -13.01% 0.50× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →