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Live Nation Entertainment Inc LYV 181.25 -1.93 -1.05%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $181.25
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±5.0% ±$9.06 $172.19 – $190.31 $169.89 – $192.61 $161.48 – $201.02
2 sessions Earnings ±5.4% ±$9.82 $171.43 – $191.07 $169.02 – $193.48 $159.94 – $202.56
3 sessions Earnings ±5.8% ±$10.53 $170.72 – $191.78 $168.29 – $194.21 $158.65 – $203.85
1 week Earnings ±6.2% ±$11.27 $169.98 – $192.52 $167.24 – $195.26 $157.54 – $204.96
2 weeks Earnings ±7.0% ±$12.71 $168.54 – $193.96 $165.55 – $196.95 $154.46 – $208.04
3 weeks Earnings ±7.7% ±$13.90 $167.35 – $195.15 $164.03 – $198.47 $152.03 – $210.47
1 month Earnings ±8.4% ±$15.19 $166.06 – $196.44 $162.40 – $200.10 $149.31 – $213.19
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. LYV reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.42%
Average actual move
2.60%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-33.79%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 08, 2025 ±6.24% +3.28% 0.53× 51.9% → 27.8%
February 21, 2025 ±6.60% -1.92% 0.29× 39.7% → 30.1%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →