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MetLife MET 98.27 -1.48 -1.48%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $98.27
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$1.35 $96.92 – $99.62 $96.65 – $99.89 $95.38 – $101.16
2 sessions ±1.9% ±$1.88 $96.39 – $100.15 $96.00 – $100.54 $94.23 – $102.31
3 sessions ±2.4% ±$2.36 $95.91 – $100.63 $95.46 – $101.08 $93.25 – $103.29
1 week ±3.0% ±$3.00 $95.27 – $101.27 $94.60 – $101.94 $91.88 – $104.66
2 weeks ±4.3% ±$4.21 $94.06 – $102.48 $93.07 – $103.47 $89.30 – $107.24
3 weeks ±5.1% ±$5.01 $93.26 – $103.28 $92.03 – $104.51 $87.67 – $108.87
1 month ±5.9% ±$5.84 $92.43 – $104.11 $90.98 – $105.56 $85.89 – $110.65
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.53%
Average actual move
2.01%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-30.08%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±4.74% -1.67% 0.35× —
August 07, 2025 ±4.74% -2.80% 0.59× 37.1% → 25.9%
February 06, 2025 ±4.12% -1.56% 0.38× 30.4% → 20.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →