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Mitek Systems MITK 18.14 -0.11 -0.6%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 13 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 13, 2026 close · $18.11
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.8% ±$0.50 $17.60 – $18.61 $17.50 – $18.71 $17.03 – $19.18
2 sessions ±3.9% ±$0.70 $17.41 – $18.80 $17.26 – $18.95 $16.60 – $19.61
3 sessions ±4.8% ±$0.88 $17.23 – $18.98 $17.06 – $19.15 $16.24 – $19.97
1 week ±6.2% ±$1.11 $16.99 – $19.22 $16.74 – $19.47 $15.73 – $20.48
2 weeks ±8.6% ±$1.57 $16.54 – $19.67 $16.17 – $20.04 $14.77 – $21.44
3 weeks ±10.7% ±$1.93 $16.17 – $20.04 $15.70 – $20.51 $14.01 – $22.20
1 month Earnings ±17.6% ±$3.18 $14.92 – $21.29 $14.15 – $22.06 $11.41 – $24.80
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MITK reports in 19 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±16.11%
Average actual move
1.63%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±16.11% +1.63% 0.10× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →