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monday MNDY 87.93 -5.91 -6.3%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $88.00
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±16.3% ±$14.37 $73.63 – $102.37 $70.00 – $106.00 $56.68 – $119.32
2 sessions Earnings ±17.4% ±$15.29 $72.71 – $103.29 $68.96 – $107.04 $54.85 – $121.15
3 sessions Earnings ±18.3% ±$16.13 $71.87 – $104.13 $68.15 – $107.85 $53.40 – $122.60
1 week Earnings ±19.1% ±$16.79 $71.21 – $104.79 $67.14 – $108.86 $52.70 – $123.30
2 weeks Earnings ±20.4% ±$17.93 $70.07 – $105.93 $65.86 – $110.14 $50.20 – $125.80
3 weeks Earnings ±21.5% ±$18.90 $69.10 – $106.90 $64.60 – $111.40 $48.28 – $127.72
1 month Earnings ±22.7% ±$19.98 $68.02 – $107.98 $63.21 – $112.79 $46.00 – $130.00
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MNDY reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±16.53%
Average actual move
13.88%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 6
Median IV change
-24.48%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 10, 2026 ±21.53% -4.84% 0.22× —
May 11, 2026 ±19.43% +6.72% 0.35× —
August 11, 2025 ±15.02% -29.80% 1.98× —
May 12, 2025 ±13.87% +0.33% 0.02× —
February 10, 2025 ±16.13% +26.46% 1.64× 103.1% → 77.9%
November 11, 2024 ±13.21% -15.14% 1.15× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →