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Mettler-Toledo International MTD 1723.24 25.2 1.48%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $1726.53
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$23.48 $1703.05 – $1750.01 $1698.39 – $1754.67 $1676.12 – $1776.94
2 sessions Earnings ±6.7% ±$115.68 $1610.85 – $1842.21 $1582.54 – $1870.52 $1476.01 – $1977.05
3 sessions Earnings ±7.1% ±$122.58 $1603.95 – $1849.11 $1575.63 – $1877.43 $1463.58 – $1989.48
1 week Earnings ±7.5% ±$128.97 $1597.56 – $1855.50 $1566.48 – $1886.58 $1455.46 – $1997.60
2 weeks Earnings ±8.1% ±$140.37 $1586.16 – $1866.90 $1553.19 – $1899.87 $1430.60 – $2022.46
3 weeks Earnings ±8.7% ±$150.21 $1576.32 – $1876.74 $1540.58 – $1912.48 $1410.75 – $2042.31
1 month Earnings ±9.3% ±$160.91 $1565.62 – $1887.44 $1526.77 – $1926.29 $1388.13 – $2064.93
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. MTD reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.05%
Average actual move
10.98%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 2
Median IV change
-30.13%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±6.25% -14.77% 2.36× —
November 08, 2024 ±5.84% -7.19% 1.23× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →